Live Signal Record

Every signal. Marked in real time.
Nothing curated. Nothing hidden.

Research, not advice  ·  Publish-before-enter discipline
Last signal 6h ago

Verified record begins 2026-05-14. Every entry is created automatically with a server-set timestamp the moment a signal is published (before any position is taken) and priced at the underlying's market price then. It cannot be back-dated, cherry-picked, or padded. A conservative underlying basis; an options expression amplifies both ways. Nothing before 2026-05-14 is counted.

How this record works, and what it isn't
Every signal is published before I enter, never after. I publish what I would trade myself, but I will not pretend I take every position at size: capital is finite, and some calls I publish for subscribers I cannot personally hold alongside everything else.
So the record below is a model. Each published call is scored at its published price and timestamp, against a fully specified contract you can verify on the chain yourself. It is the auditable scoreboard of the calls. It is not my personal account statement.
How to judge this record
This is not a trade-copying service. Okulez is macro research with a public scoreboard: the framework and the reasoning are the product, and this ledger exists so you can verify the research against what actually happened. Copying every entry at equal weight is not the model and will not reproduce it.
The strategy is convex by design. Losses are capped at the premium paid and some options expire worthless; winners are uncapped, and the largest ones contribute most of the profit. Judge the closed book as a basket, not trade by trade. Deep drawdowns on open high-beta options are a structural feature of this shape, not neglect. Anyone who cannot watch a position sit at minus 50 percent without breaking their sizing rules should not follow options signals, here or anywhere.
Who this is for: traders with meaningful risk capital (as a reference point, $25,000 or more), who use limit orders, size speculative positions small enough to survive full losses, and want the reasoning, not just the ticker. If the subscription fee is large relative to your trading capital, the honest answer is that this service is not for you yet.
On the record's age: it is young, verified only since 2026-05-14, and a small sample proves no edge. That is exactly why the current founding price exists and stays locked for early subscribers: you are early, the price says so, and the record is built to be re-judged as it grows. On the current publishing cadence the ledger crosses one hundred marked positions around autumn 2026. Judge it again then; it will still be here, unedited.
Who sets these prices, and do you need to watch the market?
No human enters the entry price. The moment a signal is published, the system fetches the market price and stamps it with a server-set timestamp. There is no field to type a better number into. Open positions are then re-marked automatically through the trading day, and exits are recorded the same way when the exit signal publishes. What you see below is that machine's output, unedited.
You do not need to watch the market to use this. These are thesis-driven positions with holds measured in weeks, not scalps measured in minutes. Every signal carries its levels: an entry zone, and an exit line published in advance. The workflow this service is built around is an evening one: read the reasoning after work, place a limit order at the level, and let the published exit line stand guard. Speed is not the edge here; the thesis is.
Realized to date  ·  what closed, not a forecast
13 closed calls
$1.80
$1 equal-weight in each became this
Avg per call
+80%
options basis, since May 14, 2026
Best / worst
+817% / -100%
6 of 13 closed green
This is the realized history of closed positions, stated as fact — not a win-rate, an annualized return, or a projection. The sample is deliberately too small for that; we hold predictive stats until 25 closed and 90 days. Closed winners outpaced closed losers roughly 4.4 to 1 in size — the small-capped-loss, outsized-winner shape the strategy is built around. Option premia, published basis, real fills vary.
Market over the same window
May 14 → Jul 29, 2026
SPY
-2.2%
QQQ
-8.1%
Broad-market reference. Closed-signal average return is shown in the stats below, and the full ledger lets you read every winner and loser yourself.
Core equity book vs market
Model SPY QQQ
+5% 0% -9% 2026-05-14 2026-07-29
Equal-weight across every closed Core signal at the UNDERLYING price. Indexed to 2026-05-14. Octane (options-basis) closes are tracked on the separate Octane curve below.
Octane options book
Model SPY -2.2% QQQ -8.1%
+90% +61% 2026-05-14 2026-07-29
Equal-weight across every closed Octane signal at the OPTION price (entry_basis to exit_basis). Indexed to 2026-05-14. Option returns are inherently amplified vs the underlying, which is why SPY/QQQ are shown as same-window deltas in the header rather than plotted on the same y-axis. This line shows the published basis, not a guaranteed fill.
Where the edge comes from
1. Macro thesis depth. A multi-year, regime-aware framework that names what each macro phase rewards before the tape confirms it. The thesis is the parent; signals are its expression in tradable structure.
2. Publish-before-enter discipline. Every position is timestamped on the public ledger before capital touches it. This is the structural defence against the survivorship bias and post-hoc storytelling that kills most signal services.
3. Position-aware coaching, not generic signals. The AI sees your actual book, your income sector, and your domain expertise, and weighs each signal against your exposure. A signal that's a re-add for one subscriber is a fresh entry for another.
Read the framework: The Euphoria Trap
Concentration over diversification
I publish the high-conviction trade, not a "balanced" basket. One or two right calls cover the rest of the year; spreading capital across nine themes to feel safe dilutes the only edge a domain expert actually has. Position sizing is the subscriber's call, informed by the in-app Allocation Compass that weighs domain expertise, current regime, and the gap between your book and the theme.
Building in public
42 signals published  ·  13 closed  ·  28 live  ·  since May 14, 2026.
We don't publish a win-rate or average return until the sample is statistically honest (25 closed signals and 90 days). Until then, here is the complete unfiltered ledger (winners and losers, open and closed) exactly as it stands.
Live 16 open Marked: Jul 29, 2026
Ticker Side Entry Last Unrealized Held Entered
RUSHA Bull grind
signal published Jul 29, 12:17 ET @ $81.77
LONG $81.77 $81.62 -0.2% 0d Jul 29, 2026
IBM Bull grind
signal published Jul 29, 10:09 ET @ $228.20
LONG $228.20 $226.44 -0.8% 0d Jul 29, 2026
DOCN Bull grind
signal published Jul 29, 09:22 ET @ $112.51
LONG $112.51 $106.76 -5.1% 0d Jul 29, 2026
BMY
signal published Jul 27, 10:19 ET @ $63.11
LONG $63.11 $63.10 -0.0% 2d Jul 27, 2026
THC
signal published Jul 27, 10:19 ET @ $244.57
LONG $244.57 $257.62 +5.3% 2d Jul 27, 2026
NVAX Pandemic theme
signal published Jul 21, 12:06 ET @ $8.04
LONG $8.04 $7.34 -8.7% 8d Jul 21, 2026
MRNA Pandemic theme
signal published Jul 21, 12:06 ET @ $59.13
LONG $59.13 $54.49 -7.8% 8d Jul 21, 2026
TWST
signal published Jul 20, 11:19 ET @ $90.73
LONG $90.73 $85.47 -5.8% 9d Jul 20, 2026
S Cyber theme
signal published Jul 20, 11:00 ET @ $19.50
LONG $19.50 $18.52 -5.0% 9d Jul 20, 2026
ET Hard commodity
signal published Jun 05, 11:12 ET @ $19.63
LONG $19.63 $20.20 +2.9% 8w Jun 05, 2026
GLD Gold cycle
signal published May 28, 09:32 ET @ $406.41
LONG $406.41 $371.08 -8.7% 2mo May 28, 2026
IONQ Quantum / AI
signal published May 22, 09:48 ET @ $63.64
LONG $63.64 $31.99 -49.7% 2mo May 22, 2026
MRNA Pandemic theme
signal published May 19, 10:43 ET @ $48.11
LONG $48.11 $54.49 +13.3% 2mo May 19, 2026
CSX Bull grind
signal published May 19, 09:33 ET @ $46.28
LONG $46.28 $50.74 +9.6% 2mo May 19, 2026
SLV Hard commodity
signal published May 15, 09:58 ET @ $69.04
LONG $69.04 $51.77 -25.0% 2mo May 15, 2026
LWLG Bull grind
signal published May 14, 10:37 ET @ $14.93
LONG $14.93 $5.34 -64.2% 3mo May 14, 2026
Reading the drawdowns: an options book like this will usually carry some open positions at deep drawdowns. That is the strategy's shape, not its failure mode: every loss is capped at the premium paid, while winners are uncapped, so the largest winners contribute most of the profit and the capped losses are the cost of finding them. The closed ledger below shows that asymmetry realized, several large winners against a cluster of capped losses. What makes the shape survivable is sizing: the model treats each premium as capital it can afford to lose entirely, harvests winners in scaled exits, and never averages down into a broken thesis. Your sizing is your own decision; the in-app Allocation Compass weighs every theme against your actual book, income sector, and proven ground.
Unrealized · underlying basis · marked at last close. Open positions are not realized returns. Paper moves change daily and many will not be captured. Subscribe for live entry alerts →
Octane: options basis 13 closed · 12 live
Each Octane row is the exact option named in the signal, entered at the price published in the signal (its limit) and timestamped before any position. The contract is shown so anyone can verify it against the option chain. Wide-spread limits mean real fills vary; this is the published basis, not a guaranteed fill.
Contract Entry Exit / Status Return
IQV +210C/-220C DEBIT VERTICAL
signal published Jul 27, 12:20 ET @ $4.25
signal closed Jul 28, 08:28 ET @ $7.35
$4.25 $7.35 · Jul 28, 2026 +73%
TWST260821C100 LONG CALL
signal published Jul 20, 11:18 ET @ $6.65
signal closed Jul 21, 09:39 ET @ $5.00
$6.65 $5.00 · Jul 21, 2026 -25%
QQQ -660P/+700P DEBIT VERTICAL Bull grind
signal published Jun 16, 15:15 ET @ $7.85
signal closed Jul 27, 15:28 ET @ $14.32 (blended)
$7.85 $14.32 blended · Jul 27, 2026 +82%
Scaled out: 67% @ $13.50 (2026-07-23)  ·  33% @ $16.00 (2026-07-27)
MET260717C85 LONG CALL Bull grind
signal published Jun 09, 13:42 ET @ $3.15
signal closed Jul 14, 13:44 ET @ $7.38 (blended)
$3.15 $7.38 blended · Jul 14, 2026 +134%
Scaled out: 75% @ $7.10 (2026-07-07)  ·  25% @ $8.20 (2026-07-14)
AFL260717C115 LONG CALL Bull grind
signal published Jun 08, 09:42 ET @ $4.50
signal closed Jun 09, 09:40 ET @ $3.50
$4.50 $3.50 · Jun 09, 2026 -22%
OKTA260717C150 LONG CALL Cyber theme
signal published Jun 03, 09:37 ET @ $4.90
signal closed Jun 04, 09:31 ET @ $3.00
$4.90 $3.00 · Jun 04, 2026 -39%
OKTA260717C150 LONG CALL Cyber theme
signal published Jun 02, 12:06 ET @ $5.50
signal closed Jun 04, 09:31 ET @ $3.00
$5.50 $3.00 · Jun 04, 2026 -46%
NOK +16C/-18C DEBIT VERTICAL Bull grind
signal published May 27, 10:41 ET @ $0.60
$0.60 - · Jul 19, 2026 -100%
PANW260918C340 LONG CALL Cyber theme
signal published May 27, 09:32 ET @ $6.50
signal closed Jun 04, 09:30 ET @ $12.50
$6.50 $12.50 · Jun 04, 2026 +92%
IONQ260717C85 LONG CALL Quantum / AI
signal published May 22, 09:48 ET @ $3.80
signal closed Jun 18, 14:29 ET @ $1.15 (blended)
$3.80 $1.15 blended · Jun 18, 2026 -70%
Scaled out: 50% @ $1.80 (2026-06-05)  ·  50% @ $0.50 (2026-06-18)
IBM260717C260 LONG CALL Cyber theme
signal published May 21, 09:45 ET @ $4.50
signal closed Jun 04, 09:30 ET @ $41.26 (blended)
$4.50 $41.26 blended · Jun 04, 2026 +817%
Scaled out: 33% @ $23.50 (2026-05-28)  ·  67% @ $50.00 (2026-06-04)
ASTS260821C120 LONG CALL Cyber theme
signal published May 14, 11:17 ET @ $7.50
signal closed Jun 05, 11:24 ET @ $23.75 (blended)
$7.50 $23.75 blended · Jun 05, 2026 +217%
Scaled out: 67% @ $28.50 (2026-05-26)  ·  33% @ $14.10 (2026-06-05)
LWLG260918C16 LONG CALL Bull grind
signal published May 14, 10:38 ET @ $4.35
signal closed Jun 18, 14:27 ET @ $1.00
$4.35 $1.00 · Jun 18, 2026 -77%
IBM261016C260 LONG CALL Bull grind
signal published Jul 29, 10:30 ET @ $7.00
$7.00 OPEN · Jul 29, 2026 · 0d held -1% M2M
DOCN +110C/-130C DEBIT VERTICAL Bull grind
signal published Jul 29, 09:44 ET @ $8.65
$8.65 OPEN · Jul 29, 2026 · 0d held -28% M2M
FXY270115C60 LONG CALL Defensive / cycle bear
signal published Jul 27, 12:17 ET @ $0.48
$0.48 OPEN · Jul 27, 2026 · 2d held +10% M2M
ABBV +260C/-280C DEBIT VERTICAL
signal published Jul 27, 12:13 ET @ $7.60
$7.60 OPEN · Jul 27, 2026 · 2d held +15% M2M
CF +130C/-140C DEBIT VERTICAL Energy / geopolitics
signal published Jul 22, 14:28 ET @ $3.65
$3.65 OPEN · Jul 22, 2026 · 7d held -6% M2M
NVAX270115C10 LONG CALL Pandemic theme
signal published Jul 21, 12:10 ET @ $1.20
$1.20 OPEN · Jul 21, 2026 · 8d held -27% M2M
MRNA270115C75 LONG CALL Pandemic theme
signal published Jul 21, 12:12 ET @ $9.75
$9.75 OPEN · Jul 21, 2026 · 8d held -25% M2M
S260918C20 LONG CALL Cyber theme
signal published Jul 20, 11:00 ET @ $2.05
$2.05 OPEN · Jul 20, 2026 · 9d held -30% M2M
GDX261016C66 LONG CALL Hard commodity
signal published Jul 17, 15:26 ET @ $9.40
$9.40 OPEN · Jul 17, 2026 · 12d held +18% M2M
SLB270115C50 LONG CALL Energy / geopolitics
signal published Jul 08, 15:10 ET @ $3.70
$3.70 OPEN · Jul 08, 2026 · 21d held +12% M2M
GLD270115C500 LONG CALL Gold cycle
signal published May 28, 09:31 ET @ $7.80
$7.80 OPEN · May 28, 2026 · 62d held -74% M2M
CSX260918C47.5 LONG CALL Bull grind RUNNER
signal published May 19, 09:33 ET @ $2.20
$2.20 OPEN · May 19, 2026 · 71d held +84% M2M
Trimmed 50% so far, banked +86.4% · 50% @ $6.00 · runner still open
Every option here risks only the premium paid, known at entry. A deep negative mark is a small, capped, pre-sized loss by design, not a blow-up: max loss on a long call or debit spread is the premium, fixed the moment the signal published. Losers are allowed to decay toward expiry while winners are scaled (see the RUNNER tags and banked figures). Many small capped losses funding the occasional outsized winner is how a power-law book is supposed to look mid-cycle.
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